- March 8, 2023
- Posted by: Tradingshot Articles
- Category: Cryptocurrency
As Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is battling to break its 1W MA50 and extend the rally of the new Bull Cycle, as all previous Cycles did, we looked at the 1W time-frame from a different angle and present to you an outlook that may have gone overlooked.
As you see, every BTC Cycle Bottom can be viewed as the Head of a giant Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The first two Cycles topped on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension counting from the 0.786 retracement level of the previous Cycle’s top-to-bottom. The most recent Cycle topped on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
As you see an uncanny constant on all Cycles so far is that the first High coming out of the Bear Cycle (that gives a pull-back that breaks below the 1W supertrend indicator) has always reached (or almost) the 0.786 Fib of the previous Cycle’s Top. Assuming that is the completion of the Right Shoulder of the IH&S pattern, we measure the Fibs from the bottom and end up with the 3.0 Fib extension Top on the first two Cycles and the 2.0 Fib Top on the third (previous) Cycle.
A repeat of the moderate 2019 – 2021 Cycle to the 2.0 Fib extension gives as a projected Top for the current Bull Cycle at $165000! Do you agree that this is realistic in the next 2 years? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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