NATURAL GAS Critical test for bullish or bearish December

Natural Gas (NG1!) hit yesterday the Lower Highs trend-line of the August 22 top and today we see the first signs of a rejection. Until this breaks decisively, we can expect NG to pull-back to the 0.382 and 0.236 Fibonacci levels.

Based on the 1W RSI though, which is on a Falling Wedge since the October 01 2021 High, there is still some room to rally, and if yesterday’s Lower High is anything like the February 02 2022 Lower High, then after this pull-back we can expect a rebound back to the 0.786 and 1.0 Fibs even a new Higher High. In that case we will be buying every closing above each Fib.

A complete bearish reversal scenario will take place if the price makes a weekly close below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is where NG rebounded on October 24.

Tradingview link:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG1!/2I5MJ3i9-NATURAL-GAS-Critical-test-for-bullish-or-bearish-December