NZDJPY Rebound on the 1D MA200 or break to pre-March levels?


The NZDJPY pair has had a massive rejection today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the forex market is attempting to digest yesterday’s Fed Rate Hike by 0.75 bp for the 3rd straight meeting. The sell-off almost hit and is so far holding the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since March 02. A break below can test the 1D MA300 (red trend-line) or under conditions, the Higher Lows Zone that started back in July 20 2021.

Before we consider those levels however, as long as the 82.160 Support holds, the long-term action remains to buy the dips, with the obvious target being the 86.830 – 87.910 Resistance Zone. Not only that, but the 1D RSI is close to the oversold 30.000 level which since November 2021 it caused medium to long-term rebounds. The price action since June 15 has strong similarities with that of March – July 2021. As you see then, when the Support broke, the price gradually reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which on the current sequence is 80.800. A break below that, can test the July 2021 Higher Lows zone we discussed about above.

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