EURUSD Stuck between the 4H MA50 and MA200


The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the February 10 High but lately in particular since June 20, it has been sideways within the 4H MA50 (blue) and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).

Our last EURUSD idea on the 4H time-frame, accurately caught the most recent top of the Channel all the way to the Support:

EURUSD Testing the Lower Highs of the 4 month Channel Down

Having a clear Support at 1.03470 on a technical Double Bottom formation, there are high chance of finally breaking above the Lower Highs trend-line of the Channel Down, if the current price action continues to recreate the March 07 – 30 fractal. If not, a rejection on the Lower Highs trend-line, can take the price back to the Support where a 1D candle close below it, opens the way medium-term for prices near 1.0100 (-0.236 Fibonacci extension).

On the other hand, a break above the 1.078555 – 1.07720 Resistance Zone, can be enough to reverse the long-term trend to bullish and start targeting the higher Fibonacci retracement levels.

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