XLMUSDT Failing to break the 1D MA50.


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For this particular analysis on STELLAR we are using the XLMUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where Stellar Lumen has been consolidating since its May 31 short-term High, which is still a Lower High within the Channel Down pattern that started in November 2021 and more importantly having failed to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is technically the short-term Resistance.

This is familiar ground for Stellar inside this pattern as every time the RSI entered the 55.00 – 60.00 Zone, the price got rejected on the 1D MA50. As a result, until proven otherwise and a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, the price remains bearish within the Channel Down towards the the 0.10400 Low and in extension (upon 1D candle closing below) the -0.382 Fibonacci extension level.

On the other hand, if Stellar does close a candle above the 1D MA50, we can take a short-term break-out buy trade targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). A buying extension on the long-term can only be sustainable if the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level breaks (0.2017 currently), which within the Channel Down has never been broken during a Lower Highs rebound. If that happens this time, then it would mean a price break-out above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) too, which is unbroken for the whole 2022.

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